Test a forecast against the way planners work today.
Use one product group, location group, or forecast horizon. Compare results with the current method and keep a planner between the recommendation and the operating system.
Best for
Replenishment or planning decisions with a measurable current baseline
Starting point
One product category, location group, or forecast horizon
Typical pilot
One backtest and controlled operating trial
Decision
Integrate, revise, narrow, or stop after the backtest and trial
Forecast trial
Keep a planner between the forecast and the order.
Historical demand and operating context produce a versioned forecast. A planner reviews it before an approved update reaches planning or inventory systems.
Planning evidence
Historical demand at the chosen grain
Stock, availability, and lead-time context
Known campaigns and price changes
Only external factors the planners approve
Forecast workflow
Version the exact history and context used
Produce a forecast for comparison with the current method
Record the model, inputs, horizon, and errors
Present the forecast and exceptions to a planner
Reviewed decision
Accept, adjust, or reject the recommendation
Send only approved changes to the operating system
Flag material errors and unusual conditions
Sales history
Historical demand at the chosen grain
Inventory
Stock, availability, and lead-time context
Promotions
Known campaigns and price changes
Operating context
Only external factors the planners approve
Planning inputs
Version the exact history and context used
Candidate forecast
Produce a forecast for comparison with the current method
Versioned result
Record the model, inputs, horizon, and errors
Review queue
Present the forecast and exceptions to a planner
Planner review
Accept, adjust, or reject the recommendation
Approved update
Send only approved changes to the operating system