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Test a forecast against the way planners work today.
Use one product group, location group, or forecast horizon. Compare results with the current method and keep a planner between the recommendation and the operating system.
Scope an AI workflow pilot- Best for
- Replenishment or planning decisions with a measurable current baseline
- Starting point
- One product category, location group, or forecast horizon
- Typical pilot
- One backtest and controlled operating trial
- Decision at the end
- Integrate, revise, narrow, or stop after the backtest and trial
Historical demand and operating context produce a versioned forecast. A planner reviews it before an approved update reaches planning or inventory systems.
Keep a planner between the forecast and the order.
Planning evidence
- Historical demand at the chosen grain
- Stock, availability, and lead-time context
- Known campaigns and price changes
- Only external factors the planners approve
Forecast workflow
- Version the exact history and context used
- Produce a forecast for comparison with the current method
- Record the model, inputs, horizon, and errors
- Present the forecast and exceptions to a planner
Reviewed decision
- Accept, adjust, or reject the recommendation
- Send only approved changes to the operating system
- Flag material errors and unusual conditions
This forecast can be tested when
- A planner owns the inventory decision and can explain the current method
- Historical demand and operating context are available for comparison
- The team agrees on the error measure and review step before the test
Not a fit: a forecast accuracy promise without usable history, a current method to beat, or a planner responsible for the decision.
How the engagement runs
Three steps, then a decision.
Baseline
Define the inventory decision, product scope, forecast horizon, available history, current method, and error measure.
Backtest
Compare candidate forecasts with the current method and review errors and exceptions with the planners.
Decide
Run a controlled trial with planner approval before choosing integration, revision, or stopping.
Bring us one inventory decision and the method planners use now.
We will define a fair backtest before any forecast reaches an operating system.